Expected DA from July 2021 likely around 30% or 31% as CPI-IW of Jan 2021 drops by 0.6 points - grules.in

Expected DA from July 2021 likely around 30% or 31% as CPI-IW of Jan 2021 drops by 0.6 points

The Labour Bureau has published the All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (AI CPI-IW) for the month of January 2021. The index decreased by 0.6 points and stood at 118.2 (one hundred eighteen and point two). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by 0.51 with respect to the previous month whereas no change was observed between corresponding months a year ago. The figure for the previous month had also seen a decrease by 1.1 points.

The decrease in the index is mainly contributed by the decrease in the prices of items in the basket under the Food & Beverages group. The contributors are Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Poultry (Chicken), Eggs-Hen, Banana, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, Chilies Green, Garlic, Ginger, Onion, Peas, Potato, Tomato etc.

The reduction is a minor one and will not impact the Dearness Allowance considerably, The CPI-IW for the month of January 2021 will be used for the calculation of the Dearness Allowance from July 2021 and five more figures are required for this. The government has frozen the DA till June 2021. Hence it is expected that the Hike DA will be available from the month of July 2021 or even earlier. Read: Dearness Allowance de-freezing as Holy Bonanza?It is too early to comment on DA from July 2021 as only 7 of the 12 indices are available. A rough estimation suggests it will be somewhere around 30% to 31%

Expected DA from July 2021 – Dearness Allowance 30%: Table by staffnews.in

Expected DA from July, 2021 – Table by staffnews.in
Month	Base Year 2001 = 100	Base Year 2001 = 100	Total of 12 Months	Twelve monthly Average	% increase over 115.76 for 6CPC DA	% increase over 261.42 for 7CPC DA	7CPC DA announced or computed
Aug,19		320	3710	309.17	167.08%	18.26%
Sep,19		322	3731	310.92	168.59%	18.93%
Oct,19		325	3754	312.83	170.24%	19.67%
Nov,19		328	3780	315.00	172.11%	20.50%
Dec,19		330	3809	317.42	174.20%	21.42%	21%
Jan,20		330	3832	319.33	175.86%	22.15%
Feb,20		328	3853	321.08	177.37%	22.82%
Mar,20		326	3870	322.50	178.59%	23.36%
Apr,20		329	3887	323.92	179.82%	23.91%
May,20		330	3903	325.25	180.97%	24.42%
Jun,20		332	3919	326.58	182.12%	24.93%	24%
Jul,20		336	3936	328.00	183.34%	25.47%
Aug,20		338	3954	329.50	184.64%	26.04%
Sep,20	118.1	340	3972	331.00	185.94%	26.62%
Oct,20	119.5	344	3991	332.58	187.30%	27.22%
Nov,20	119.9	345	4008	334.00	188.53%	27.76%
Dec,20	118.8	342	4020	335.00	189.39%	28.15%	28%
Jan,21	118.2	340	4030	335.83	190.11%	28.47%
Feb,21	118.2	340	4042	336.83	190.98%	28.85%
Mar,21	118.2	340	4056	338.00	191.98%	29.29%
Apr,21	118.2	340	4067	338.92	192.78%	29.64%
May,21	118.2	340	4077	339.75	193.50%	29.96%
Jun,21	118.2	340	4085	340.42	194.07%	30.22%
Jul,21	118.2	340	4089	340.75	194.36%	30.35%	30%

Table of 7th Central Pay Commission Dearness Allowance  announced or computed

Month	CPI (IW) Base Year 2016 = 100	CPI (IW) Base Year 2001 = 100	7CPC DA announced or computed
Jan,16		269	0%
Jul,16		280	2%
Jan,17		274	4%
Jul,17		285	5%
Jan,18		288	7%
Jul,18		301	9%
Jan,19		307	12%
Jul,19		319	17%
Jan,20		330	21%
Jul,20		336	24%
Jan,21	118.2	340	28%
Jul,21	118.2	340	30%

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